GDP growth is expected to bounce back to 6% in FY26
The growth is 1.6 percentage points lower than the provisional estimate
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has projected Bangladesh’s GDP growth rate to slow to 4.3 percent in fiscal year (FY) 2025, reflecting a subdued outlook amid political uncertainty, supply disruptions and tight monetary policy.
The GDP growth target may be brought down to 5.25 percent in the revised budget for the current fiscal year due to the damage caused by multiple floods and the interim government’s contractionary monetary policy to contain high inflation.
Bangladesh recorded its lowest economic growth in the past five quarters in the last quarter of fiscal 2023-24 due to contractionary monetary and fiscal policies to tackle the dwindling forex reserves and high inflation.
While a privileged minority, sitting in their high castles, continue to enjoy a larger and larger share of the fruits of “development,” it is becoming obvious that the vast majority are increasingly struggling.
Bangladesh’s economy has grown at a faster pace, albeit marginally, in the current fiscal year than the previous one although the production of industrial goods and agricultural commodities recorded reduced growth.
International Monetary Fund (IMF) has defended revising down its forecast for Bangladesh’s GDP growth in fiscal year 2023-24, saying it was “pretty reasonable” amidst various ongoing challenges, including elevated inflation.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised down growth forecast for Bangladesh’s economy to 6 percent for the fiscal year 2023-24, lower from its previous projection of 6.5 percent.
The Bangladesh Bank has projected that loan repayments against mid- and long-term foreign credits secured by the private sector might fall by 42.6 per cent in 2023, but the development might not bring about major relief for an economy reeling under the forex crisis.
In 2019, when AHM Mustafa Kamal took charge as the finance minister, the Bangladesh economy was taxing for take-off for its long-haul flight to the developed country club.
Amidst the steep rise in commodity prices, and a sky-high aspiration of sustaining GDP growth, what are the major challenges of creating an effective budget for Bangladesh this year? What should we look for from the FY 23-24 budget?
Private sector credit growth in Bangladesh dropped to a 14-month low of 11.23 per cent in April owing to weak credit demand amid the current business slowdown, official figures showed.
The government is going to unveil a Tk 7,61,785 crore budget for the next fiscal year on Thursday, setting containment of high inflation as a major target.
The government has to invest in good education; a meagre two percent of the nation’s GDP is not going to create a "Smart Bangladesh."
Bangladesh’s public expenditure is not growing in keeping pace with the steadily expanding economy as it struggles to raise adequate revenues, thus failing to ensure full implementation of development programmes and provide expected services to its citizens.
The tax collection growth fell further in April, making it tougher for the National Board of Revenue (NBR) to attain its goal of raising Tk 370,000 crore in the current fiscal year.
The economy is estimated to have expanded at a slower-than-expected pace in 2022-23, said the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) yesterday, a figure that analysts describe as good in view of elevated inflation, slowing exports and remittances and the ongoing pressure on the country’s foreign exchange reserves.
Private sector credit growth in Bangladesh slipped to a 12-month low of 12.03 per cent in March, a development that may hurt GDP growth and job creation.
